NCAA Tournament March Madness

#43 San Diego St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: first four out

San Diego State sits on the cut line because its season is defined by a rugged defensive identity and a handful of resume-building moments but also by a few damaging setbacks; a neutral-site victory over Oregon and road wins at San Jose State and Nevada demonstrate the team can win in hostile environments, yet ugly neutral losses to Michigan and Arizona plus a surprising home defeat to Troy and a late collapse at Grand Canyon have left too many blemishes. The remainder of the schedule hands them meaningful opportunities to vault into safety with road tests at Utah State, Boise State and New Mexico and several home dates against conference foes including Nevada and UNLV, so the selection committee will likely reward the defense and road resilience if those chances are converted but for now the combination of a strong defensive profile, only sporadic high-end wins, and several costly losses keeps them teetering on the bubble.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Long Beach St236W77-45
11/9Idaho St213W73-57
11/18Troy113L108-107
11/24(N)Michigan2L94-54
11/25(N)Oregon98W97-80
11/26(N)Baylor52L91-81
12/3Utah Valley106W77-66
12/10Lamar207W89-71
12/17Air Force346W81-58
12/20(N)Arizona1L68-45
12/30@San Jose St255W81-68
1/3Boise St54W110-107
1/6@Nevada63W73-68
1/10Fresno St138W71-52
1/14@Wyoming111W74-57
1/17New Mexico42W83-79
1/21@Grand Canyon75L70-69
1/24@UNLV134W82-71
1/28Colorado St95W73-50
1/31@Utah St3031%
2/3Wyoming11185%
2/7@Air Force34698%
2/14Nevada6372%
2/17Grand Canyon7575%
2/21@Colorado St9562%
2/25Utah St3053%
2/28@New Mexico4239%
3/3@Boise St5448%
3/6UNLV13488%